Outpaced.
A 10-part investigation into the exponential acceleration of artificial intelligence, and what it means for Australian institutions, families, and national power.
Data-driven. Source-linked. No hype.
The evidence base
Observed AI capability doubling time across frontier labs
METR, Jan 2026 ↗
Projected share of federal revenue from personal income tax by 2034-35
Parliamentary Budget Office ↗
Increase in revenue per employee at Klarna after AI-driven workforce reduction
Klarna Annual Report 2024 ↗
Gemini 3.1 Pro ARC-AGI-2 score, more than double its predecessor
Google DeepMind, Feb 2026 ↗
Anthropic Series G funding round at $380B valuation
Anthropic, Feb 2026 ↗
Combined AI infrastructure spend committed by Big Tech for 2026
Industry estimates ↗
The premise
AI capability is doubling every 89 days. That is not a metaphor. It is a measurement, published by independent researchers tracking frontier model performance against real-world tasks.
Most institutions are planning on 5-year cycles. The technology is moving on 3-month cycles. The gap between these two timelines is where the damage will be done.
This series maps that gap across ten domains: from the models themselves to energy, semiconductors, robotics, supply chains, and the direct impact on Australian households.
The series
The February 2026 releases that changed the trajectory.
Independent measurement of AI acceleration, translated to everyday jobs.
The Machine That Builds Itself
Coming soonWhen AI helps build the next AI, the rules change.
Australia's $300 Billion Blind Spot
Coming soonOur tax base, our structure, our unique vulnerability.
The Robots Are Coming
Coming soonPhysical AI and the end of the "it can't do manual work" argument.
The Fully Automated Supply Chain
Coming soonFrom autonomous trucks to lights-out warehouses.
The Race for Power
Coming soonAI's energy appetite, nuclear renaissance, orbital infrastructure.
The Limit of Sand
Coming soonSemiconductors, Taiwan, and the most consequential monopoly on Earth.
The New Space Race
Coming soonStarlink, satellite filings, infrastructure above the clouds.
What Happens to Us?
Coming soonThree scenarios for Australian families, 2028 to 2035.
Methodology
Every claim in Outpaced is sourced. Statistics link to primary data. Where estimates are used, they are clearly labelled as such. The investigation draws on published research, company filings, government reports, and peer-reviewed analysis.
This is not prediction. It is pattern recognition. The trends documented here are already underway. The only question is speed.
Follow the investigation
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